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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+0.54vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.47+1.55vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.22+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.88-0.76vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.39-1.12vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.39-0.81vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54Stanford University2.1961.8%1st Place
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3.55University of Hawaii0.4710.0%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Berkeley-0.225.4%1st Place
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3.24University of Rhode Island0.8811.6%1st Place
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3.88University of Washington-1.397.2%1st Place
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5.19Arizona State University-0.393.0%1st Place
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6.09University of California at San Diego-1.411.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 61.8% | 26.5% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 10.0% | 18.2% | 21.8% | 21.9% | 15.8% | 10.1% | 2.4% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 5.4% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 22.3% | 21.7% | 10.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 11.6% | 23.4% | 23.4% | 20.9% | 13.6% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Emily Smith | 7.2% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 20.2% | 19.3% | 13.8% | 4.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 29.7% | 23.2% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 10.4% | 19.1% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.