Race 7A

wac-open-central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicholas Clemence 29.4% 25.0% 17.3% 13.8% 8.2% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Timmins 16.8% 16.4% 17.1% 13.9% 14.9% 10.6% 6.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Samuel Bedinger 11.9% 12.0% 16.2% 13.5% 14.4% 14.3% 10.7% 5.0% 1.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Joan Boyle 5.9% 5.7% 8.0% 9.6% 12.5% 16.1% 16.7% 15.0% 7.7% 2.1% 0.7%
Paul Luisi 3.5% 3.0% 4.1% 6.3% 7.3% 9.6% 12.7% 21.3% 17.5% 12.8% 1.9%
Gerard Tonachel 17.1% 19.2% 16.9% 15.3% 12.5% 7.6% 7.3% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Samantha Gebb 7.6% 9.9% 8.3% 11.1% 13.5% 14.2% 15.1% 12.3% 5.8% 2.0% 0.2%
Victoria Miller 5.6% 5.9% 9.2% 11.7% 9.9% 13.7% 15.5% 15.0% 10.1% 2.9% 0.5%
Tory Stires 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 1.5% 1.8% 3.8% 10.1% 16.8% 62.7%
Tim Gorzelnik 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 2.2% 2.5% 4.6% 5.4% 11.2% 22.1% 32.9% 15.4%
Charles Herlihy 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.8% 3.3% 3.3% 6.9% 10.0% 23.3% 30.1% 18.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.