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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+3.25vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+2.25vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.41+0.29vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.15-1.70vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.83-0.72vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.90-0.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.31-0.08vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.74-0.71vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.7810.9%1st Place
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4.25California Poly Maritime Academy1.9210.2%1st Place
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3.29University of Hawaii2.4119.1%1st Place
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2.3Stanford University3.1536.8%1st Place
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4.28University of Washington1.8311.3%1st Place
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5.75University of Southern California0.904.9%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Berkeley0.311.9%1st Place
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7.29Arizona State University0.741.7%1st Place
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6.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.353.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Seawards | 10.9% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 10.2% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Erik Anderson | 19.1% | 20.9% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 36.8% | 26.5% | 18.4% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 11.3% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 8.7% |
| Wilton Lawton | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 22.9% | 27.5% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 22.8% | 37.8% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 18.6% | 22.6% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.