Race 8A

wac-open-central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Gerard Tonachel 14.8% 18.4% 16.7% 16.9% 15.6% 8.9% 5.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Bedinger 11.9% 13.5% 16.1% 16.9% 14.6% 11.5% 8.6% 5.5% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Victoria Miller 5.3% 5.0% 8.1% 8.9% 11.1% 13.7% 17.0% 17.0% 10.3% 3.3% 0.3%
Samantha Gebb 5.4% 7.8% 8.8% 8.7% 13.1% 18.1% 14.9% 13.6% 7.1% 2.4% 0.1%
Connor Timmins 17.0% 15.9% 16.3% 16.9% 12.5% 9.7% 7.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Paul Luisi 2.5% 3.5% 3.7% 5.7% 6.7% 10.0% 14.9% 21.3% 16.7% 12.6% 2.4%
Joan Boyle 7.4% 8.1% 9.0% 10.5% 13.6% 15.4% 14.6% 11.4% 7.8% 1.7% 0.5%
Tim Gorzelnik 1.3% 1.0% 2.0% 1.7% 2.3% 3.5% 7.1% 10.7% 24.8% 29.1% 16.5%
Tory Stires 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 3.8% 8.9% 18.0% 62.1%
Charles Herlihy 0.9% 0.6% 1.6% 2.3% 2.8% 3.5% 5.2% 11.5% 21.0% 32.5% 18.1%
Nicholas Clemence 33.2% 25.5% 17.1% 11.1% 6.4% 4.0% 2.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.