Race 9A

wac-open-central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Gerard Tonachel 14.6% 19.3% 17.0% 16.7% 13.6% 9.6% 5.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Clemence 32.9% 24.0% 17.2% 12.4% 7.3% 4.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Bedinger 11.4% 12.1% 16.3% 13.0% 16.8% 12.6% 10.1% 6.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Joan Boyle 5.8% 5.9% 9.0% 10.6% 11.0% 16.6% 15.7% 13.7% 9.3% 2.1% 0.3%
Connor Timmins 16.2% 17.5% 17.4% 14.7% 11.7% 10.6% 7.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Samantha Gebb 6.4% 8.3% 8.7% 11.8% 13.1% 14.6% 14.5% 11.7% 8.4% 2.2% 0.3%
Victoria Miller 6.6% 7.4% 7.0% 9.9% 13.4% 12.8% 16.0% 15.8% 7.5% 3.2% 0.4%
Paul Luisi 3.8% 2.9% 4.0% 5.7% 7.8% 10.1% 14.8% 20.4% 17.8% 11.1% 1.6%
Charles Herlihy 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 2.2% 2.5% 2.6% 5.6% 9.2% 22.3% 31.6% 20.5%
Tim Gorzelnik 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 2.3% 2.4% 4.5% 6.2% 11.9% 21.8% 29.5% 17.7%
Tory Stires 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 1.7% 2.8% 4.5% 9.9% 19.7% 59.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.