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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+0.54vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.47+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.88+0.20vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.41+2.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.22-0.43vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.39-0.87vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-1.39-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54Stanford University2.1961.9%1st Place
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3.54University of Hawaii0.479.9%1st Place
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3.2University of Rhode Island0.8812.7%1st Place
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6.1University of California at San Diego-1.410.9%1st Place
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4.57University of California at Berkeley-0.225.5%1st Place
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5.13Arizona State University-0.392.4%1st Place
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3.92University of Washington-1.396.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 61.9% | 25.9% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 9.9% | 17.4% | 23.6% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Molly Coghlin | 12.7% | 23.6% | 23.4% | 20.2% | 13.3% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 18.4% | 58.2% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 5.5% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 25.2% | 11.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 17.9% | 29.3% | 22.3% |
| Emily Smith | 6.8% | 14.2% | 19.3% | 20.6% | 21.7% | 13.5% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.