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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+2.23vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.41-0.64vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.90+0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.83-1.67vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.74+0.23vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-1.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.31-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Stanford University3.1535.4%1st Place
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4.23University of California at Santa Barbara1.7810.6%1st Place
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4.13California Poly Maritime Academy1.9212.6%1st Place
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3.36University of Hawaii2.4118.2%1st Place
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5.79University of Southern California0.904.8%1st Place
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4.33University of Washington1.8310.7%1st Place
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7.23Arizona State University0.742.4%1st Place
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6.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.353.1%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Berkeley0.312.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Thomas Sitzmann | 35.4% | 28.6% | 18.3% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Jonathan Seawards | 10.6% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
Nicholas Mueller | 12.6% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
Erik Anderson | 18.2% | 17.6% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Morgana Manti | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 9.2% |
Benjamin Stone | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
Aidan Boylan | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 21.6% | 37.2% |
Robert Bloomfield | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 23.8% | 21.5% |
Wilton Lawton | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 23.8% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.