Race 10A

wac-open-central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Victoria Miller 4.5% 5.0% 8.5% 9.0% 11.1% 15.1% 19.9% 16.3% 7.9% 2.6% 0.1%
Gerard Tonachel 16.6% 18.5% 15.8% 16.5% 13.3% 11.0% 5.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Paul Luisi 3.2% 3.4% 3.6% 4.6% 6.3% 10.8% 12.9% 21.6% 19.8% 11.4% 2.4%
Tim Gorzelnik 0.6% 1.3% 1.2% 1.7% 2.7% 3.8% 4.9% 9.3% 25.6% 28.3% 20.6%
Connor Timmins 16.7% 15.3% 17.7% 15.1% 13.0% 9.3% 7.5% 3.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Joan Boyle 6.1% 7.4% 8.0% 10.9% 12.6% 15.4% 15.7% 14.2% 7.3% 2.2% 0.2%
Samuel Bedinger 13.9% 15.7% 15.1% 15.9% 14.3% 10.5% 8.9% 3.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Samantha Gebb 7.0% 7.0% 11.6% 10.8% 14.8% 13.8% 14.0% 12.8% 6.4% 1.5% 0.3%
Nicholas Clemence 30.2% 25.2% 16.8% 12.5% 8.4% 4.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Herlihy 0.7% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.6% 4.1% 6.5% 10.6% 20.0% 32.1% 18.9%
Tory Stires 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 2.7% 5.3% 9.3% 21.0% 57.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.