← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.15+1.33vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California0.90+3.80vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii2.41+0.35vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington1.83+0.29vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-0.83vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+0.65vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-2.86vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University0.74-0.66vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley0.31-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.33Stanford University3.1536.1%1st Place
-
5.8University of Southern California0.904.0%1st Place
-
3.35University of Hawaii2.4117.9%1st Place
-
4.29University of Washington1.8310.7%1st Place
-
4.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.7811.9%1st Place
-
6.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.352.4%1st Place
-
4.14California Poly Maritime Academy1.9212.4%1st Place
-
7.34Arizona State University0.741.8%1st Place
-
6.93University of California at Berkeley0.312.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thomas Sitzmann | 36.1% | 27.4% | 16.8% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Morgana Manti | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 8.6% |
Erik Anderson | 17.9% | 19.2% | 19.6% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Benjamin Stone | 10.7% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
Jonathan Seawards | 11.9% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
Robert Bloomfield | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 24.6% | 20.3% |
Nicholas Mueller | 12.4% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
Aidan Boylan | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 21.3% | 39.4% |
Wilton Lawton | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 23.1% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.