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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+1.50vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University0.74+3.74vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.83+0.30vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.31+1.45vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-1.77vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.90-1.52vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of Hawaii2.4130.9%1st Place
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5.74Arizona State University0.742.9%1st Place
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3.3University of Washington1.8317.2%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Berkeley0.313.8%1st Place
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3.23California Poly Maritime Academy1.9219.9%1st Place
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4.48University of Southern California0.907.3%1st Place
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3.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.3518.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 30.9% | 25.7% | 19.6% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 23.2% | 45.4% |
| Benjamin Stone | 17.2% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 8.6% | 2.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 27.6% | 33.8% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 19.9% | 18.3% | 18.9% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 21.3% | 21.6% | 12.5% |
| Jasper Reid | 18.1% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 18.9% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.