Race 2B

wac-open-central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Eleanor Conroy 13.0% 11.2% 12.7% 13.3% 12.6% 10.0% 9.3% 8.0% 4.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.7%
Jason Sinclair 4.2% 3.6% 5.0% 6.9% 7.6% 6.8% 10.2% 11.0% 12.3% 13.8% 11.7% 6.9%
Paul Stevens 15.7% 14.0% 13.0% 13.0% 10.8% 11.5% 9.2% 6.5% 3.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.1%
John Marzulli 11.3% 12.5% 12.5% 14.2% 11.3% 11.3% 8.8% 6.3% 6.2% 3.8% 1.3% 0.5%
Emma Ferris 16.9% 17.4% 16.1% 10.9% 11.0% 10.7% 5.8% 5.2% 2.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Mary Buhl 6.4% 7.7% 7.7% 7.6% 9.2% 10.3% 10.6% 12.4% 11.1% 8.6% 5.6% 2.8%
Christian Geary 17.3% 15.7% 16.2% 10.6% 11.1% 10.0% 7.9% 4.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.3%
Kathrine Bianchini 4.7% 4.9% 4.8% 8.0% 7.3% 6.0% 8.0% 11.1% 12.0% 14.2% 10.4% 8.6%
Kyle Donnelly 3.7% 3.6% 4.5% 7.4% 7.2% 10.3% 9.8% 10.8% 11.6% 13.0% 11.9% 6.2%
Eliza Crawford 2.5% 3.0% 2.8% 2.6% 3.3% 4.2% 6.3% 7.9% 10.6% 11.1% 19.1% 26.6%
Matthias Chia 2.1% 2.0% 2.2% 2.6% 4.5% 3.7% 6.2% 6.6% 10.0% 13.8% 19.5% 26.8%
Thad Bench 2.2% 4.4% 2.5% 2.9% 4.1% 5.2% 7.9% 9.5% 10.4% 13.7% 16.7% 20.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.