Race 3B

wac-open-central-fall-2

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Paul Stevens 14.0% 15.5% 14.3% 13.1% 14.5% 10.9% 7.8% 5.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.4%
John Marzulli 13.8% 12.8% 13.5% 11.0% 11.5% 10.8% 11.4% 8.2% 4.2% 2.5% 0.3%
Christian Geary 15.0% 16.6% 14.1% 13.4% 11.5% 11.7% 8.3% 4.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Eleanor Conroy 13.3% 11.7% 12.8% 14.0% 12.6% 12.4% 8.6% 7.6% 4.3% 2.1% 0.6%
Jason Sinclair 4.7% 4.7% 5.6% 8.0% 7.6% 8.3% 10.6% 12.6% 14.3% 14.2% 9.4%
Emma Ferris 18.3% 17.3% 14.2% 15.4% 10.5% 8.3% 6.6% 4.6% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Thad Bench 3.5% 3.4% 3.4% 4.0% 7.1% 6.4% 7.8% 11.2% 15.4% 19.4% 18.4%
Kathrine Bianchini 5.2% 4.2% 6.1% 6.4% 8.4% 8.9% 11.2% 12.8% 14.2% 13.0% 9.6%
Eliza Crawford 2.4% 3.2% 2.3% 3.4% 2.8% 5.0% 6.8% 9.9% 13.7% 19.0% 31.5%
Matthias Chia 2.6% 2.6% 3.3% 3.3% 4.0% 5.7% 7.0% 10.7% 14.0% 19.9% 26.9%
Mary Buhl 7.2% 8.0% 10.4% 8.0% 9.5% 11.6% 13.9% 11.9% 10.1% 6.9% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.