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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.71+1.60vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.41-0.38vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-0.54vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.74+0.86vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.83-2.45vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.31-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36California Poly Maritime Academy1.9217.1%1st Place
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3.6University of Southern California1.7115.0%1st Place
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2.62University of Hawaii2.4129.1%1st Place
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3.46University of California at Santa Barbara1.3516.8%1st Place
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5.86Arizona State University0.742.4%1st Place
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3.55University of Washington1.8315.2%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Berkeley0.314.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 17.1% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 2.5% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 15.0% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 17.9% | 11.5% | 4.2% |
| Erik Anderson | 29.1% | 24.1% | 20.2% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Jasper Reid | 16.8% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 3.3% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 24.8% | 48.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 15.2% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 11.6% | 3.4% |
| Wilton Lawton | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 27.9% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.