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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+2.38vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+0.63vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.83+0.47vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-0.54vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.74+0.86vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.31-0.45vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.71-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38California Poly Maritime Academy1.9216.2%1st Place
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2.63University of Hawaii2.4128.2%1st Place
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3.47University of Washington1.8317.0%1st Place
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3.46University of California at Santa Barbara1.3516.8%1st Place
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5.86Arizona State University0.743.0%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Berkeley0.314.0%1st Place
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3.65University of Southern California1.7114.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 16.2% | 20.1% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 9.5% | 2.8% |
| Erik Anderson | 28.2% | 24.6% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Stone | 17.0% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 10.4% | 2.8% |
| Jasper Reid | 16.8% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 10.4% | 3.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 23.1% | 50.6% |
| Wilton Lawton | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 30.9% | 35.9% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 14.8% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 12.5% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.