Race 4B

wac-open-central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Paul Stevens 13.3% 15.3% 14.6% 15.3% 11.1% 13.7% 7.5% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Christian Geary 15.9% 16.7% 14.5% 13.6% 12.7% 10.2% 8.0% 4.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.1%
Jason Sinclair 4.8% 3.7% 5.5% 5.9% 6.6% 7.9% 13.4% 12.6% 17.9% 12.6% 9.1%
Eleanor Conroy 12.8% 12.2% 11.6% 15.3% 13.5% 10.2% 10.9% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.7%
Kathrine Bianchini 4.5% 4.8% 6.4% 5.3% 8.4% 9.1% 10.7% 12.7% 15.0% 13.4% 9.7%
Thad Bench 2.1% 2.9% 3.3% 4.8% 5.9% 5.1% 8.3% 12.1% 16.0% 19.2% 20.3%
Emma Ferris 20.3% 17.6% 16.5% 11.8% 11.9% 9.3% 5.6% 3.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
Eliza Crawford 2.7% 2.2% 2.6% 3.2% 4.3% 6.3% 7.7% 11.4% 13.1% 19.6% 26.9%
Matthias Chia 2.6% 2.2% 3.7% 2.4% 3.9% 5.0% 7.1% 9.9% 13.4% 20.3% 29.5%
Mary Buhl 7.4% 7.4% 9.9% 9.4% 10.0% 10.6% 11.2% 14.2% 9.0% 8.2% 2.7%
John Marzulli 13.6% 15.0% 11.4% 13.0% 11.7% 12.6% 9.6% 6.2% 4.6% 2.0% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.