← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.41+1.68vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+1.42vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.71+0.66vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-0.61vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington1.83-1.59vs Predicted
-
6Arizona State University0.74-0.17vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.31-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.68University of Hawaii2.4127.7%1st Place
-
3.42University of California at Santa Barbara1.7817.2%1st Place
-
3.66University of Southern California1.7115.2%1st Place
-
3.39California Poly Maritime Academy1.9216.8%1st Place
-
3.41University of Washington1.8316.4%1st Place
-
5.83Arizona State University0.742.7%1st Place
-
5.61University of California at Berkeley0.314.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 27.7% | 24.4% | 19.1% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 17.2% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 19.9% | 16.5% | 10.1% | 2.5% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 15.2% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 12.2% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 16.8% | 17.2% | 19.8% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 2.8% |
| Benjamin Stone | 16.4% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 9.3% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 25.1% | 47.8% |
| Wilton Lawton | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 29.6% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.