Race 5B

wac-open-central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christian Geary 21.2% 20.3% 16.5% 15.4% 11.5% 7.1% 5.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
John Marzulli 14.3% 15.8% 16.6% 15.3% 14.1% 10.7% 7.5% 4.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Emma Ferris 22.0% 18.8% 18.0% 14.0% 15.0% 7.1% 3.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Mary Buhl 7.0% 10.4% 10.8% 12.0% 14.7% 16.8% 13.4% 8.7% 4.5% 1.7%
Jason Sinclair 6.0% 7.5% 7.9% 8.2% 10.1% 16.2% 15.6% 14.9% 10.1% 3.5%
Paul Stevens 21.1% 18.2% 15.9% 16.4% 12.8% 8.1% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Matthias Chia 2.6% 1.8% 3.5% 5.4% 6.4% 9.4% 15.9% 17.8% 20.4% 16.8%
Eliza Crawford 2.5% 3.0% 4.4% 4.8% 7.3% 9.5% 12.7% 18.6% 19.9% 17.3%
Welf Ludwig 1.3% 1.4% 2.3% 3.0% 2.8% 5.4% 10.0% 12.2% 20.3% 41.3%
Brogan Savage 2.0% 2.8% 4.1% 5.5% 5.3% 9.7% 12.2% 17.3% 22.0% 19.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.