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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+2.39vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.71+1.61vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+0.42vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.41-1.33vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.83-1.50vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.31-0.37vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.74-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39California Poly Maritime Academy1.9216.6%1st Place
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3.61University of Southern California1.7115.6%1st Place
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3.42University of California at Santa Barbara1.7816.8%1st Place
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2.67University of Hawaii2.4127.4%1st Place
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3.5University of Washington1.8316.4%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Berkeley0.313.8%1st Place
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5.78Arizona State University0.743.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 16.6% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 15.6% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 20.0% | 11.8% | 3.8% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 16.8% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% |
| Erik Anderson | 27.4% | 25.2% | 19.7% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Stone | 16.4% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 3.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 29.5% | 40.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 25.4% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.