Race 6B

wac-open-central-fall-2

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christian Geary 23.3% 19.0% 16.8% 13.0% 12.0% 8.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
John Marzulli 14.7% 15.8% 16.8% 15.0% 16.0% 9.4% 6.8% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Paul Stevens 18.9% 17.7% 16.7% 15.8% 14.2% 9.7% 4.5% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Mary Buhl 7.4% 9.3% 11.0% 13.4% 14.5% 15.8% 14.0% 8.3% 4.9% 1.4%
Emma Ferris 20.7% 22.8% 17.7% 15.9% 9.9% 6.0% 4.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Jason Sinclair 6.3% 6.4% 6.7% 9.9% 11.5% 14.7% 15.4% 13.9% 10.5% 4.7%
Brogan Savage 2.1% 1.9% 3.5% 5.1% 5.4% 8.9% 14.6% 19.5% 18.9% 20.1%
Eliza Crawford 2.5% 3.4% 3.5% 5.4% 6.3% 11.2% 12.9% 17.0% 22.5% 15.3%
Matthias Chia 2.9% 2.3% 4.8% 3.7% 6.6% 10.4% 14.1% 16.8% 22.6% 15.8%
Welf Ludwig 1.2% 1.4% 2.5% 2.8% 3.6% 5.0% 8.5% 14.2% 18.5% 42.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.