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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Marzulli 16.7% 16.0% 16.4% 13.3% 13.5% 12.7% 6.9% 3.0% 1.3% 0.2%
Christian Geary 20.7% 19.3% 17.2% 16.2% 11.7% 7.2% 4.7% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Paul Stevens 18.4% 17.8% 16.6% 16.7% 14.5% 9.0% 4.5% 2.1% 0.2% 0.2%
Mary Buhl 8.1% 8.3% 11.2% 12.5% 16.3% 15.2% 13.8% 8.3% 4.9% 1.4%
Emma Ferris 20.8% 23.3% 17.8% 15.2% 10.0% 6.0% 4.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Jason Sinclair 6.6% 6.4% 6.2% 9.5% 12.4% 14.6% 15.1% 14.2% 10.3% 4.7%
Brogan Savage 2.0% 2.1% 3.6% 4.2% 5.9% 9.3% 14.2% 19.8% 18.8% 20.1%
Eliza Crawford 2.6% 2.9% 4.2% 5.1% 6.2% 10.4% 13.7% 17.3% 22.4% 15.2%
Matthias Chia 2.9% 2.5% 4.5% 4.2% 6.1% 10.4% 14.2% 16.8% 22.6% 15.8%
Welf Ludwig 1.2% 1.4% 2.3% 3.1% 3.4% 5.2% 8.4% 14.0% 18.7% 42.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.