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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.74+2.81vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+1.35vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University1.95+0.49vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.15+1.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.09-1.81vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.72-0.15vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.09+0.47vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-0.01-0.77vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania0.02-1.74vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-0.64-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Princeton University1.740.2%1st Place
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3.35Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.2%1st Place
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3.49Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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5.02Christopher Newport University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.19U. S. Naval Academy2.090.2%1st Place
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5.85Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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7.47Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.23Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.26University of Pennsylvania0.020.0%1st Place
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8.34Rutgers University-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Marzulli | 16.7% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Christian Geary | 20.7% | 19.3% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Paul Stevens | 18.4% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Mary Buhl | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Emma Ferris | 20.8% | 23.3% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jason Sinclair | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 4.7% |
| Brogan Savage | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 19.8% | 18.8% | 20.1% |
| Eliza Crawford | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 22.4% | 15.2% |
| Matthias Chia | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 22.6% | 15.8% |
| Welf Ludwig | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.