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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.83+2.48vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+0.69vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+0.42vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.71-0.35vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-1.69vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.74-0.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.31-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48University of Washington1.8316.0%1st Place
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2.69University of Hawaii2.4127.3%1st Place
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3.42University of California at Santa Barbara1.7817.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Southern California1.7114.3%1st Place
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3.31California Poly Maritime Academy1.9218.6%1st Place
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5.86Arizona State University0.742.3%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Berkeley0.314.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 16.0% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 2.6% |
| Erik Anderson | 27.3% | 23.6% | 20.0% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 17.1% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 10.2% | 2.7% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 14.3% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 12.0% | 4.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 18.6% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 26.3% | 47.9% |
| Wilton Lawton | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 28.2% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.