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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+9.49vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+8.27vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85+7.71vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California3.58+3.20vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.07+4.20vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine2.83+4.71vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.08+2.43vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy3.79-1.78vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.36-1.30vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.87+0.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.99+4.24vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley2.60-0.14vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University2.74-1.59vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California2.57-2.16vs Predicted
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15University of Washington2.81-4.05vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles1.72+0.46vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis2.13-2.80vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay2.30-4.47vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles2.21-5.49vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-7.72vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon1.84-8.10vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego0.43-3.96vs Predicted
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27Oregon State University0.76-7.04vs Predicted
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28University of California at Berkeley1.01-8.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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10.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Southern California3.580.1%1st Place
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9.2Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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10.71University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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9.43Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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6.22California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Hawaii3.360.1%1st Place
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10.53University of Washington2.870.1%1st Place
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15.24University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.0%1st Place
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11.86University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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11.41Santa Clara University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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10.95University of Washington2.810.0%1st Place
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16.46University of California at Los Angeles1.720.0%1st Place
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14.2University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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13.53California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
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13.51University of California at Los Angeles2.210.0%1st Place
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12.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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15.9University of Oregon1.840.0%1st Place
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21.04University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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19.96Oregon State University0.760.0%1st Place
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19.36University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Kaschak | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hester | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Soper | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Vetter | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Riihiluoma | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Porter | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Eliza Richartz | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kelly | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Cowley | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Cody Shevitz | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Harrison | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Darrin | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Bozina | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 4.4% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Bradley Schoch | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Mark Anders | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Keely Scates | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Craig Emmes | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 40.5% |
| Aike Burger | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 20.9% | 25.8% |
| Lauren Amery | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 18.8% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.