Race 8B

wac-open-central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christian Geary 20.7% 20.5% 16.2% 15.0% 13.4% 6.6% 4.3% 2.5% 0.4% 0.4%
Paul Stevens 19.1% 17.7% 16.6% 16.1% 13.8% 9.1% 5.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Jason Sinclair 6.9% 4.9% 7.4% 8.5% 9.7% 16.8% 16.5% 15.6% 10.0% 3.7%
John Marzulli 13.6% 16.8% 16.3% 16.1% 15.0% 10.3% 7.4% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Brogan Savage 2.6% 3.9% 4.2% 5.3% 5.1% 8.0% 13.4% 15.8% 21.7% 20.0%
Emma Ferris 22.7% 20.9% 16.1% 14.3% 12.9% 7.1% 3.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Welf Ludwig 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 2.7% 3.2% 5.0% 9.1% 13.9% 21.9% 40.4%
Mary Buhl 8.5% 8.9% 12.3% 11.9% 14.8% 16.8% 12.6% 8.4% 4.4% 1.4%
Matthias Chia 2.6% 2.4% 4.4% 6.0% 6.2% 10.1% 12.9% 18.9% 20.3% 16.2%
Eliza Crawford 2.1% 2.9% 5.0% 4.1% 5.9% 10.2% 15.1% 17.6% 19.4% 17.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.