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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+1.41vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.83+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.71-0.36vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-1.67vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.31-0.38vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.74-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7University of Hawaii2.4128.0%1st Place
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3.41University of California at Santa Barbara1.7817.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Washington1.8316.8%1st Place
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3.64University of Southern California1.7114.8%1st Place
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3.33California Poly Maritime Academy1.9216.8%1st Place
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5.62University of California at Berkeley0.313.2%1st Place
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5.82Arizona State University0.743.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 28.0% | 23.4% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 17.1% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 3.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 16.8% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 3.4% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 14.8% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 12.7% | 3.6% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 16.8% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 9.1% | 2.1% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 28.1% | 39.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 25.2% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.