Race 9B

wac-open-central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jason Sinclair 5.9% 6.8% 8.0% 9.5% 11.5% 14.3% 16.0% 14.0% 9.1% 4.9%
Mary Buhl 8.2% 9.4% 9.5% 12.7% 14.5% 15.8% 13.9% 9.0% 6.0% 1.0%
Brogan Savage 2.6% 2.5% 3.3% 5.1% 5.2% 7.8% 13.7% 18.5% 20.0% 21.3%
Paul Stevens 18.5% 17.6% 19.1% 15.3% 13.2% 8.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Christian Geary 20.2% 19.3% 18.3% 15.2% 12.1% 8.4% 3.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
John Marzulli 18.0% 13.6% 15.3% 14.7% 14.5% 12.3% 6.9% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Emma Ferris 20.2% 22.9% 16.2% 16.9% 9.8% 8.7% 3.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Matthias Chia 2.3% 3.6% 4.3% 4.0% 8.3% 9.2% 14.2% 18.9% 20.8% 14.4%
Eliza Crawford 2.6% 3.5% 3.3% 3.9% 6.9% 9.9% 15.2% 16.7% 20.7% 17.3%
Welf Ludwig 1.5% 0.8% 2.7% 2.7% 4.0% 5.1% 7.6% 14.2% 20.6% 40.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.