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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+2.68vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.83+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.41-1.32vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-1.65vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.31-0.43vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.74-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68University of Southern California1.7114.1%1st Place
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3.5University of Washington1.8315.5%1st Place
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3.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.7816.4%1st Place
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2.68University of Hawaii2.4129.1%1st Place
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3.35California Poly Maritime Academy1.9218.0%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Berkeley0.313.9%1st Place
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5.85Arizona State University0.743.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 14.1% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 13.1% | 4.2% |
| Benjamin Stone | 15.5% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 10.7% | 3.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 16.4% | 19.3% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% |
| Erik Anderson | 29.1% | 21.6% | 20.4% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 18.0% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 2.5% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 31.1% | 36.7% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 22.6% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.