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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+0.63vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.71+0.60vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-0.60vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.31+0.66vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.74-0.18vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.83-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.7816.4%1st Place
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2.63University of Hawaii2.4128.9%1st Place
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3.6University of Southern California1.7114.9%1st Place
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3.4California Poly Maritime Academy1.9217.4%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Berkeley0.313.0%1st Place
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5.82Arizona State University0.743.0%1st Place
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3.52University of Washington1.8316.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Seawards | 16.4% | 19.2% | 18.5% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 2.6% |
| Erik Anderson | 28.9% | 24.8% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 14.9% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 11.6% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 17.4% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 9.7% | 2.6% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 28.3% | 40.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 25.9% | 46.5% |
| Benjamin Stone | 16.4% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 10.9% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.