Race 10B

wac-open-central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christian Geary 23.2% 19.4% 15.6% 13.1% 13.5% 7.8% 4.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Emma Ferris 23.2% 19.1% 16.7% 16.5% 12.2% 6.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Mary Buhl 7.4% 9.3% 10.7% 11.1% 13.6% 16.6% 16.1% 9.0% 4.7% 1.5%
Brogan Savage 1.9% 2.1% 3.4% 4.3% 6.2% 8.6% 13.7% 18.9% 22.7% 18.2%
Paul Stevens 18.5% 19.1% 18.8% 15.8% 11.8% 9.0% 4.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Matthias Chia 3.0% 3.7% 3.2% 5.7% 8.1% 8.4% 12.7% 18.7% 20.6% 15.9%
John Marzulli 13.0% 18.0% 15.3% 18.3% 13.3% 10.8% 6.8% 3.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Jason Sinclair 5.4% 6.4% 8.9% 7.3% 12.9% 15.5% 15.7% 14.3% 8.9% 4.7%
Eliza Crawford 2.8% 2.3% 4.5% 5.0% 5.7% 10.9% 13.5% 16.9% 22.0% 16.4%
Welf Ludwig 1.6% 0.6% 2.9% 2.9% 2.7% 6.4% 8.4% 13.1% 18.8% 42.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.