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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Western Washington University-0.16+2.00vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University1.52-0.77vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.31-1.59vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.48-2.76vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.45-1.64vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-2.46-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Western Washington University-0.160.1%1st Place
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2.23Oregon State University1.520.3%1st Place
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2.41University of Victoria1.310.3%1st Place
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2.24Western Washington University1.480.3%1st Place
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4.36Western Washington University-0.450.0%1st Place
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5.75Western Washington University-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelby Allman | 5.6% | 6.6% | 14.8% | 33.1% | 34.9% | 5.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 31.5% | 31.8% | 21.5% | 12.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Evan Rankin | 27.6% | 25.8% | 28.9% | 13.8% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Martin | 30.8% | 30.1% | 25.8% | 10.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Mandi Barnett | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 27.2% | 45.6% | 10.2% |
| Chris Chaves | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 10.7% | 84.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.