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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University1.52+1.26vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.31-0.57vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.16-0.07vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.48-2.73vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.45-2.65vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-2.46-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Oregon State University1.520.3%1st Place
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2.43University of Victoria1.310.3%1st Place
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3.93Western Washington University-0.160.1%1st Place
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2.27Western Washington University1.480.3%1st Place
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4.35Western Washington University-0.450.0%1st Place
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5.76Western Washington University-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Hickman | 30.5% | 30.8% | 24.0% | 11.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Evan Rankin | 27.3% | 26.8% | 26.7% | 14.7% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Shelby Allman | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 33.0% | 35.5% | 3.8% |
| Taylor Martin | 31.5% | 27.1% | 27.3% | 11.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Mandi Barnett | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 25.6% | 46.3% | 10.1% |
| Chris Chaves | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 9.0% | 85.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.