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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Victoria0.51+1.30vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.08-0.54vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University0.39-1.59vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.20-2.26vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.18-3.13vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.11-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3University of Victoria0.510.2%1st Place
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2.46Western Washington University1.080.3%1st Place
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3.41Oregon State University0.390.2%1st Place
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3.74Western Washington University0.200.1%1st Place
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3.87Western Washington University0.180.1%1st Place
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4.21Western Washington University-0.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoebe Gilday | 16.9% | 20.5% | 18.3% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 12.2% |
| Ashley Krzeszowski | 34.8% | 22.5% | 18.9% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 3.0% |
| Melissa Rathbun | 16.3% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 13.1% |
| Abraham Dons-Borreguero | 11.9% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 20.9% | 17.4% |
| Rachael McCrady | 11.1% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 23.0% |
| Jackson Dean | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.