← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University-0.11+3.23vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.20+1.69vs Predicted
-
3University of Victoria0.51+0.28vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University0.18-1.25vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University1.08-3.40vs Predicted
-
7Oregon State University0.39-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.23Western Washington University-0.110.1%1st Place
-
3.69Western Washington University0.200.1%1st Place
-
3.28University of Victoria0.510.2%1st Place
-
3.75Western Washington University0.180.1%1st Place
-
2.6Western Washington University1.080.3%1st Place
-
3.45Oregon State University0.390.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Dean | 7.9% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 32.2% |
| Abraham Dons-Borreguero | 13.5% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 19.3% |
| Phoebe Gilday | 18.0% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 10.8% |
| Rachael McCrady | 13.7% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 20.2% | 18.3% |
| Ashley Krzeszowski | 31.1% | 24.1% | 18.2% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Melissa Rathbun | 15.8% | 17.2% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.