← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University0.73+1.92vs Predicted
-
2Texas A&M University1.44+0.46vs Predicted
-
3University of Texas0.41+0.48vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University1.66-1.98vs Predicted
-
5Rice University-0.23-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.92Clemson University0.7316.4%1st Place
-
2.46Texas A&M University1.4426.0%1st Place
-
3.48University of Texas0.4110.4%1st Place
-
2.02Northwestern University1.6642.0%1st Place
-
4.12Rice University-0.235.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 16.4% | 22.5% | 26.6% | 21.8% | 12.8% |
| Michael Morse | 26.0% | 28.9% | 23.2% | 16.7% | 5.2% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 10.4% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 31.2% | 25.4% |
| Delaney Smith | 42.0% | 28.0% | 18.1% | 9.9% | 2.0% |
| Arthur Unger | 5.1% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 20.4% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.