← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.81+4.02vs Predicted
-
2Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+5.71vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.25+4.02vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College2.24+3.10vs Predicted
-
5Washington College2.65+0.48vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.99-1.22vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.09-0.48vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19+1.38vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University2.01-2.01vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.53-1.62vs Predicted
-
12Queen's University1.29-1.69vs Predicted
-
13Drexel University1.64-3.98vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Military Academy1.22-3.36vs Predicted
-
15Monmouth University-0.23-0.62vs Predicted
-
16Rutgers University-0.33-1.51vs Predicted
-
17Columbia University2.55-11.05vs Predicted
-
19Princeton University-1.08-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.02Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
-
7.71Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
-
7.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.250.1%1st Place
-
7.1SUNY Maritime College2.240.1%1st Place
-
5.48Washington College2.650.1%1st Place
-
4.78U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
-
7.52Cornell University2.090.1%1st Place
-
10.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
-
7.99Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
-
9.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.530.0%1st Place
-
10.31Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
-
9.02Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
-
10.64U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
14.38Monmouth University-0.230.0%1st Place
-
14.49Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
-
5.95Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
-
15.82Princeton University-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Scanlon | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Nugent | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schoene | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dan Ricker | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Edegran | 13.8% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Liem | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Edward Titcomb | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Connor McGowan | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Chris Myers | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Marciano | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 19.4% | 30.2% | 19.2% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 8.9% | 18.2% | 30.8% | 21.6% |
| Conor Cashel | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ackermamn | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 22.5% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.