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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.83+4.39vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+6.95vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon2.51+7.08vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California3.16+2.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego2.19+6.42vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine3.43-0.14vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.64-2.14vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy0.40+10.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.15+2.61vs Predicted
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11University of Washington3.09-2.85vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles2.63-1.93vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California3.12-4.95vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz1.87-0.16vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University2.36-3.06vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-9.20vs Predicted
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18University of Washington1.69-3.44vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis1.68-4.08vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley1.86-6.24vs Predicted
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22University of Hawaii2.13-9.54vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley1.18-6.13vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-9.70vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles1.34-8.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39University of Hawaii3.830.1%1st Place
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8.95Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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12.42University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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6.86University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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5.86Stanford University3.640.1%1st Place
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19.16California Poly Maritime Academy0.400.0%1st Place
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12.61University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Washington3.090.1%1st Place
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10.07University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Southern California3.120.1%1st Place
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13.84University of California at Santa Cruz1.870.0%1st Place
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11.94Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.8University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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14.56University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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14.92University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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13.76University of California at Berkeley1.860.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Hawaii2.130.0%1st Place
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16.87University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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14.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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16.06University of California at Los Angeles1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Peterson | 14.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Philip Gordon | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Lue | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Eric Alamillo | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Rex Cameron | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Stemler | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Davis | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 15.8% | 46.0% |
| Morgane Renoir | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Felipe Lopez | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emily Dahl | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mickail Murawski | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Lindsay Grove | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 5.2% |
| Ryan Lee | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% |
| Dan Sundberg | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Megan Hayes | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 15.3% |
| Thomas Maher | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.1% |
| Amy Stuyvesant | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.