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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.65+4.53vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+5.67vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.81+2.15vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.01+3.84vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.43vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.24+1.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy1.22+3.49vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.29+2.04vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.25-1.86vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.09-3.54vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.55-5.93vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.53-3.63vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-3.30vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-0.33-0.42vs Predicted
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16Drexel University1.64-6.93vs Predicted
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18Princeton University-1.08-2.22vs Predicted
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19Monmouth University-0.23-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Washington College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.67Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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5.15Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.84Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.57U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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7.15SUNY Maritime College2.240.1%1st Place
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10.49U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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10.04Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
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7.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.250.1%1st Place
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7.46Cornell University2.090.1%1st Place
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6.07Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.530.0%1st Place
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10.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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14.58Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
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9.07Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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15.78Princeton University-1.080.0%1st Place
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14.4Monmouth University-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Ricker | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Edegran | 16.1% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Alex Nugent | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Liem | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Conor Cashel | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor McGowan | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 18.8% | 30.5% | 23.4% |
| Chris Myers | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Ackermamn | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 11.5% | 21.9% | 54.0% |
| Matthew Marciano | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 19.7% | 28.7% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.