← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University1.66+0.89vs Predicted
-
2Texas A&M University1.44+0.25vs Predicted
-
3Rice University-0.23+0.70vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University0.73-1.44vs Predicted
-
5University of Texas-1.43-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.89Northwestern University1.6642.4%1st Place
-
2.25Texas A&M University1.4429.2%1st Place
-
3.7Rice University-0.236.2%1st Place
-
2.56Clemson University0.7320.4%1st Place
-
4.6University of Texas-1.431.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 42.4% | 32.6% | 19.4% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| Michael Morse | 29.2% | 30.5% | 27.1% | 11.8% | 1.3% |
| Arthur Unger | 6.2% | 8.0% | 15.8% | 50.0% | 20.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 20.4% | 26.2% | 33.5% | 16.4% | 3.5% |
| Sophia Herrada | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 16.6% | 74.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.