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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.65+4.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.55vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.81+2.19vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.25+3.01vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy1.22+5.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.53+3.63vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.09+0.52vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-0.41vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.01-1.04vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.24-3.13vs Predicted
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11Queen's University1.29-0.65vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.55-6.01vs Predicted
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14Drexel University1.64-4.81vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-4.28vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-0.33-1.57vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-1.08-1.20vs Predicted
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18Monmouth University-0.23-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Washington College2.650.1%1st Place
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4.55U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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5.19Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.250.1%1st Place
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10.34U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.530.0%1st Place
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7.52Cornell University2.090.1%1st Place
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7.59Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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7.96Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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6.87SUNY Maritime College2.240.1%1st Place
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10.35Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
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5.99Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.19Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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14.43Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
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15.8Princeton University-1.080.0%1st Place
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14.38Monmouth University-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Ricker | 12.5% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Edegran | 16.4% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Nugent | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Connor McGowan | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Liem | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 18.4% | 28.6% | 22.3% |
| Dylan Ackermamn | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 21.6% | 55.5% |
| Matthew Marciano | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 19.3% | 29.2% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.