Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Patrick Kana 18.4% 18.1% 16.2% 15.9% 12.9% 9.7% 5.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Connor Timmins 8.2% 7.8% 9.2% 10.8% 11.8% 14.7% 13.5% 12.7% 8.8% 2.5% 0.0%
Nicholas Clemence 14.6% 12.0% 16.4% 13.7% 14.7% 10.5% 9.9% 5.4% 2.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Domenic Re 2.0% 2.9% 3.3% 3.4% 5.4% 6.0% 8.4% 17.6% 24.5% 26.1% 0.4%
Griffin Orr 6.9% 6.9% 7.4% 9.1% 10.3% 11.8% 15.5% 15.1% 11.5% 5.5% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 10.1% 12.4% 10.4% 12.6% 13.6% 13.9% 11.4% 8.0% 5.9% 1.7% 0.0%
Sarah Celone 2.4% 3.3% 2.7% 3.3% 3.0% 5.7% 7.9% 14.2% 20.5% 36.0% 1.0%
Gordon Wolcott 19.2% 19.1% 17.7% 13.2% 11.5% 7.9% 7.6% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Nick Balta 2.9% 3.2% 3.3% 4.1% 4.6% 7.5% 9.6% 17.2% 20.9% 25.8% 0.9%
Daniel LOCHNER 15.2% 14.2% 13.3% 13.9% 12.1% 12.2% 10.5% 5.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Samuel Walter 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 97.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.