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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.54vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.54+1.58vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+1.15vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+0.95vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.20-0.70vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.59+1.66vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo2.44-1.23vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.68-2.71vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.58-1.31vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.24-1.87vs Predicted
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11American University-2.92-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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3.58University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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4.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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4.95Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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4.3Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.66Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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5.77University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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5.29U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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7.69Cornell University1.580.0%1st Place
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8.13Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.94American University-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kana | 17.7% | 19.5% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 19.2% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 14.2% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 15.0% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 23.0% | 25.2% | 0.4% |
| Griffin Orr | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Connor Timmins | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Nick Balta | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 22.7% | 25.6% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 21.7% | 37.2% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Walter | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 97.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.