← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Patrick Kana 17.7% 19.5% 18.3% 13.5% 12.7% 8.6% 5.9% 2.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 19.2% 18.7% 16.7% 13.4% 10.9% 10.3% 6.0% 3.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Clemence 14.2% 13.7% 14.9% 15.0% 13.2% 11.1% 9.7% 6.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 10.3% 10.3% 9.7% 13.8% 13.2% 13.1% 11.4% 10.6% 5.7% 1.9% 0.0%
Daniel LOCHNER 15.0% 13.1% 13.0% 13.3% 13.0% 12.4% 9.9% 5.7% 4.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Domenic Re 2.6% 2.5% 3.9% 4.6% 4.1% 7.6% 9.8% 16.3% 23.0% 25.2% 0.4%
Griffin Orr 7.4% 7.2% 7.0% 9.7% 10.5% 13.8% 14.6% 14.9% 10.3% 4.5% 0.1%
Connor Timmins 8.6% 9.2% 10.1% 10.8% 13.0% 12.1% 13.7% 10.6% 8.6% 3.2% 0.1%
Nick Balta 2.9% 3.3% 3.7% 3.0% 4.9% 6.3% 10.1% 16.5% 22.7% 25.6% 1.0%
Sarah Celone 2.0% 2.5% 2.5% 2.9% 4.5% 4.5% 8.8% 12.9% 21.7% 37.2% 0.5%
Samuel Walter 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 1.0% 97.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.