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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicholas Clemence 13.6% 15.6% 15.4% 15.4% 12.9% 11.4% 8.5% 4.6% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 20.2% 18.5% 16.3% 12.8% 10.7% 10.7% 6.1% 3.5% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Kana 18.1% 18.4% 16.4% 13.7% 11.9% 10.4% 6.4% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Daniel LOCHNER 13.3% 12.7% 12.2% 13.8% 14.8% 12.1% 9.2% 7.4% 3.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 11.7% 11.1% 12.6% 11.6% 12.0% 12.0% 13.9% 9.4% 4.1% 1.6% 0.0%
Nick Balta 2.3% 2.9% 3.4% 5.2% 4.8% 6.6% 9.9% 17.0% 21.3% 26.0% 0.6%
Domenic Re 3.8% 3.2% 3.3% 4.3% 5.9% 7.4% 9.7% 15.9% 23.3% 22.7% 0.5%
Connor Timmins 8.8% 8.8% 10.2% 11.6% 12.7% 11.9% 13.0% 10.6% 8.9% 3.4% 0.1%
Griffin Orr 6.0% 6.9% 6.9% 8.5% 10.3% 12.5% 14.9% 15.3% 11.9% 6.5% 0.3%
Sarah Celone 2.1% 1.9% 3.2% 3.0% 3.9% 4.9% 8.2% 12.6% 22.4% 37.3% 0.5%
Samuel Walter 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 1.0% 98.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.