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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+3.06vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.54+1.56vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+0.65vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.20+0.42vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.97-0.25vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.58+1.66vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.59+0.48vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.68-2.71vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo2.44-2.97vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.24-1.85vs Predicted
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11American University-2.92-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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3.56University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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3.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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4.42Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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4.75Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.66Cornell University1.580.0%1st Place
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7.48Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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5.29U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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8.15Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.94American University-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Clemence | 13.6% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 20.2% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Kana | 18.1% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Nick Balta | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 17.0% | 21.3% | 26.0% | 0.6% |
| Domenic Re | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 23.3% | 22.7% | 0.5% |
| Connor Timmins | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Orr | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Celone | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 22.4% | 37.3% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Walter | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 98.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.