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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+3.10vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+1.44vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia3.54+0.72vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.68+1.59vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.58+2.60vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo2.44-0.02vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97-2.36vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.20-3.76vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.59-1.35vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.24-1.90vs Predicted
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11American University-2.92-0.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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3.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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3.72University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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5.59U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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7.6Cornell University1.580.0%1st Place
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5.98University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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4.64Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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4.24Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.65Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.1Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.93American University-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Clemence | 13.0% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Kana | 20.9% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 17.1% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Nick Balta | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 23.1% | 24.3% | 0.4% |
| Griffin Orr | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 14.7% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 20.7% | 21.3% | 24.5% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 21.4% | 36.6% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Walter | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 97.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.