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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.54+1.59vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.97+1.94vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+0.12vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.20-0.74vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.59+1.67vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.68-1.75vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.58-0.48vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo2.44-2.97vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.24-1.83vs Predicted
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11American University-2.92-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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3.59University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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4.94Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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4.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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4.26Old Dominion University3.200.2%1st Place
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7.67Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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5.25U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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7.52Cornell University1.580.0%1st Place
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6.03University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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8.17Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.94American University-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kana | 17.7% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 18.6% | 19.5% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 10.3% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 15.0% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 15.2% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 22.7% | 25.5% | 0.6% |
| Connor Timmins | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Balta | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 22.1% | 23.2% | 0.4% |
| Griffin Orr | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Celone | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 21.0% | 38.0% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Walter | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 98.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.