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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.83+4.57vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California3.16+6.12vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon2.51+8.41vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine3.43+2.96vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+2.77vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.64+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.15+5.62vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles2.63+2.72vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz1.87+4.21vs Predicted
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11University of Washington3.09-2.65vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+0.23vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University2.36-1.10vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego2.19-1.20vs Predicted
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15University of Washington1.69+0.39vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.92-6.41vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California3.12-8.77vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley1.86-3.60vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-5.26vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis1.68-6.08vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles1.34-6.27vs Predicted
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24University of Hawaii2.13-10.96vs Predicted
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25University of California at Berkeley1.18-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57University of Hawaii3.830.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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6.96University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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7.77University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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6.19Stanford University3.640.1%1st Place
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12.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.0%1st Place
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10.72University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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14.21University of California at Santa Cruz1.870.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Washington3.090.1%1st Place
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12.23California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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11.9Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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12.8University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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15.39University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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9.59Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Southern California3.120.1%1st Place
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14.4University of California at Berkeley1.860.0%1st Place
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14.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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14.92University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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16.73University of California at Los Angeles1.340.0%1st Place
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13.04University of Hawaii2.130.0%1st Place
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17.1University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Peterson | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Rex Cameron | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Peter Stemler | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgane Renoir | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Mickail Murawski | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
| Felipe Lopez | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Lindsay Grove | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Eric Alamillo | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Emily Dahl | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Dan Sundberg | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Thomas Maher | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% |
| Ryan Lee | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.2% |
| Amy Stuyvesant | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 18.6% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% |
| Megan Hayes | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.