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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.53vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.59+5.65vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+1.16vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia3.54-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo2.44+0.91vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.68-0.53vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.58+0.43vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97-3.31vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.20-4.61vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.24-1.88vs Predicted
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11American University-2.92-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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7.65Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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4.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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3.73University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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5.91University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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7.43Cornell University1.580.0%1st Place
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4.69Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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4.39Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.12Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.94American University-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kana | 18.9% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 21.1% | 26.7% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 14.9% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 17.6% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 0.1% |
| Connor Timmins | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Nick Balta | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 17.7% | 20.9% | 21.5% | 0.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 11.6% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 12.4% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 21.6% | 37.0% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Walter | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 97.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.