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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.52vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+1.97vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo2.44+3.11vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.20+0.40vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.68+0.41vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.54-2.37vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.59+0.50vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.58-0.47vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.97-4.14vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.24-1.86vs Predicted
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11American University-2.92-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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3.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.2%1st Place
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6.11University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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4.4Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.41U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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7.5Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.53Cornell University1.580.0%1st Place
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4.86Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.14Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.94American University-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kana | 18.8% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 16.0% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 12.9% | 6.0% | 0.3% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 19.2% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 23.8% | 22.3% | 0.6% |
| Nick Balta | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 21.9% | 24.6% | 0.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Celone | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 13.5% | 20.8% | 38.2% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Walter | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 98.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.