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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.56vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.20+2.27vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.97+1.91vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.59+3.80vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo2.44+0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.54-2.33vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.68-1.76vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-4.10vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.58-1.35vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.24-1.86vs Predicted
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11American University-2.92-0.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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4.27Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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4.91Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.8Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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3.67University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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5.24U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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3.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.2%1st Place
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7.65Cornell University1.580.0%1st Place
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8.14Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.93American University-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kana | 18.8% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 13.9% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 16.6% | 24.3% | 26.3% | 0.6% |
| Griffin Orr | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 0.1% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 18.2% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 15.9% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Balta | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 23.8% | 23.7% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 20.0% | 37.7% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Walter | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 97.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.