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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+2.68vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+1.44vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo2.44+3.11vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+0.14vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.97-0.24vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.68-0.52vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.59+0.47vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.20-3.79vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.58-1.35vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.24-1.88vs Predicted
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11American University-2.92-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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3.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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6.11University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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4.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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4.76Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.48U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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7.47Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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4.21Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.65Cornell University1.580.0%1st Place
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8.12Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.94American University-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 16.6% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Kana | 21.0% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 13.5% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| Domenic Re | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 22.0% | 22.0% | 0.5% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 14.3% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nick Balta | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 24.3% | 24.3% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 20.8% | 37.7% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Walter | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 97.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.