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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.56vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.54+1.56vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.20+1.45vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo2.44+2.08vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.97-0.19vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-2.00vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.68-1.73vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.59-0.49vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.58-1.31vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.24-1.86vs Predicted
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11American University-2.92-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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3.56University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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4.45Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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4.81Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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4.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.2%1st Place
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5.27U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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7.51Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.69Cornell University1.580.0%1st Place
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8.14Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.94American University-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kana | 18.2% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 19.4% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 12.4% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 15.5% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Connor Timmins | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 21.5% | 23.4% | 0.3% |
| Nick Balta | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 16.6% | 24.3% | 24.8% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 20.5% | 38.3% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Walter | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 98.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.