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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+2.68vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+2.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.68+2.59vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-0.42vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.20-0.70vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-1.96vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo2.44-1.23vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.59-0.46vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.24-0.76vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.58-2.45vs Predicted
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11American University-2.92-0.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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4.78Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.59U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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3.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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4.3Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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4.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.2%1st Place
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5.77University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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7.54Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.24Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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7.55Cornell University1.580.0%1st Place
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10.93American University-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 16.1% | 19.4% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Kana | 18.8% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 15.0% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 15.3% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 0.2% |
| Domenic Re | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 16.9% | 22.0% | 23.2% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Celone | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 21.9% | 38.7% | 1.6% |
| Nick Balta | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 21.5% | 25.1% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Walter | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 97.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.