Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Elliott Morrill 24.0% 21.2% 16.2% 17.1% 10.6% 6.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Stessing 19.4% 17.6% 15.8% 16.0% 12.2% 8.7% 6.5% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Allison Shane 4.5% 4.5% 6.3% 7.0% 9.3% 12.3% 13.9% 19.4% 16.1% 6.3% 0.4%
Scott Barnhill 2.1% 3.7% 3.3% 5.0% 6.1% 7.1% 13.0% 17.4% 23.6% 16.4% 2.3%
Andrew Sayre 5.5% 6.1% 8.8% 7.9% 9.2% 14.6% 14.5% 15.1% 13.5% 4.8% 0.0%
Rachel Austin 9.3% 10.6% 13.1% 12.0% 14.2% 14.0% 12.7% 8.2% 4.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Jacob Spracher 12.9% 13.6% 12.1% 14.0% 14.4% 12.2% 9.7% 6.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Philip Youngberg 17.5% 17.0% 18.0% 13.3% 13.1% 9.4% 7.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Collin Clark 3.8% 4.8% 5.0% 5.7% 8.9% 10.6% 13.8% 18.7% 18.6% 7.8% 2.3%
Jon Gambacorta 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 3.3% 4.9% 6.1% 14.4% 49.3% 15.8%
Beatriz Gimenez De Cordoba 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.9% 0.8% 1.9% 3.1% 13.0% 79.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.