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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Elliott Morrill 24.4% 21.1% 18.0% 14.4% 10.3% 8.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Spracher 11.9% 11.8% 12.3% 13.4% 16.5% 10.9% 11.6% 7.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Philip Youngberg 15.2% 14.9% 17.3% 14.4% 13.5% 10.2% 9.1% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Scott Barnhill 2.1% 4.1% 3.2% 5.2% 5.2% 8.3% 10.1% 18.6% 24.7% 16.0% 2.5%
Andrew Sayre 5.3% 6.7% 7.7% 8.6% 10.3% 12.7% 14.9% 15.1% 13.8% 4.9% 0.0%
Christopher Stessing 19.2% 17.9% 17.1% 15.6% 10.2% 8.7% 6.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Rachel Austin 11.8% 12.6% 11.5% 12.7% 13.2% 13.7% 12.1% 6.7% 4.5% 1.2% 0.0%
Allison Shane 5.2% 5.1% 7.2% 8.1% 10.6% 12.0% 14.9% 15.4% 14.3% 6.9% 0.3%
Collin Clark 3.8% 4.8% 4.4% 5.9% 7.7% 11.4% 13.1% 19.7% 18.9% 8.1% 2.2%
Jon Gambacorta 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 1.6% 2.3% 3.4% 3.7% 6.9% 15.4% 48.1% 16.0%
Beatriz Gimenez De Cordoba 0.5% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 2.1% 3.1% 13.1% 79.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.