Race 3B

maisa-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Stessing 17.2% 17.3% 17.9% 14.6% 14.6% 8.9% 5.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Elliott Morrill 26.5% 21.6% 17.4% 13.5% 10.2% 6.0% 3.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Allison Shane 5.0% 4.9% 6.6% 6.3% 8.2% 12.7% 14.6% 18.6% 15.9% 6.8% 0.4%
Jacob Spracher 9.8% 10.9% 12.5% 13.6% 13.9% 14.5% 12.7% 7.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Philip Youngberg 17.1% 17.1% 15.3% 15.2% 12.0% 9.8% 7.6% 3.3% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Sayre 5.4% 6.3% 7.5% 8.8% 10.8% 11.9% 15.1% 16.0% 12.4% 5.5% 0.3%
Scott Barnhill 3.8% 4.2% 3.8% 5.1% 6.9% 10.7% 11.4% 16.1% 24.6% 11.6% 1.8%
Rachel Austin 10.3% 11.8% 13.3% 14.2% 12.9% 11.7% 11.6% 8.5% 4.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Collin Clark 4.0% 4.6% 4.6% 6.9% 7.8% 10.4% 13.0% 18.3% 18.2% 10.0% 2.2%
Jon Gambacorta 0.6% 1.2% 0.8% 1.5% 2.4% 3.0% 4.4% 6.5% 12.9% 50.8% 15.9%
Beatriz Gimenez De Cordoba 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 3.9% 13.0% 79.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.