Race 4B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jacob Spracher 9.3% 10.7% 13.6% 15.2% 13.2% 14.3% 12.8% 7.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Scott Barnhill 3.6% 3.3% 3.3% 5.0% 7.3% 8.1% 13.6% 16.7% 23.7% 14.0% 1.4%
Allison Shane 5.3% 3.8% 5.9% 6.6% 9.6% 12.6% 14.5% 16.7% 18.6% 5.9% 0.5%
Christopher Stessing 15.8% 17.0% 17.6% 17.1% 11.1% 9.9% 7.2% 3.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Sayre 5.6% 6.9% 8.6% 7.4% 9.5% 12.6% 14.6% 16.7% 12.6% 5.5% 0.0%
Rachel Austin 9.9% 10.5% 11.3% 13.2% 16.1% 11.9% 11.4% 8.2% 5.9% 1.6% 0.0%
Elliott Morrill 27.8% 22.6% 15.3% 13.4% 10.3% 6.4% 2.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Youngberg 17.1% 18.7% 17.6% 13.4% 12.2% 9.1% 6.5% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Jon Gambacorta 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 2.3% 2.6% 3.9% 6.0% 12.0% 52.0% 16.7%
Collin Clark 4.1% 5.2% 5.4% 7.6% 7.9% 12.2% 12.7% 16.7% 18.9% 8.5% 0.8%
Beatriz Gimenez De Cordoba 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 2.1% 3.5% 11.6% 80.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.