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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.99+1.13vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.51+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.88-0.50vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39+0.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.56-1.04vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13University of Hawaii0.9937.1%1st Place
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2.86University of Hawaii0.5117.9%1st Place
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2.5University of Rhode Island0.8827.8%1st Place
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4.14Arizona State University-0.397.7%1st Place
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3.96University of California at Berkeley-0.568.0%1st Place
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5.42University of California at Los Angeles-1.821.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 37.1% | 29.4% | 20.6% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Martha Schuessler | 17.9% | 25.4% | 24.4% | 19.6% | 10.6% | 2.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 27.8% | 25.0% | 23.6% | 16.5% | 6.7% | 0.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 22.6% | 34.8% | 15.0% |
| Victoria Chen | 8.0% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 24.2% | 31.6% | 11.2% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 13.7% | 70.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.