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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.80+5.30vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.51+2.65vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia3.01+0.77vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-0.84vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.21+2.44vs Predicted
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6American University-1.62+4.71vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.90-3.28vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.40-3.18vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.46-1.99vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.67-3.60vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo0.87-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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4.65Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
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3.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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7.44Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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10.71American University-1.620.0%1st Place
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3.72U. S. Naval Academy2.900.2%1st Place
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4.82Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.01Cornell University1.460.0%1st Place
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6.4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.670.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sayre | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Spracher | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stessing | 17.5% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Morrill | 23.7% | 21.1% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 19.5% | 22.8% | 3.2% |
| Beatriz Gimenez De Cordoba | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 88.4% |
| Philip Youngberg | 18.0% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Austin | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Collin Clark | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 1.2% |
| Allison Shane | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 10.3% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Green | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 32.7% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.