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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.01+2.73vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+1.08vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.80+3.37vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.21+3.63vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo0.87+2.97vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.51-1.29vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.90-3.25vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.46-1.14vs Predicted
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9American University-1.62+1.69vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.67-3.59vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.40-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
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3.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.3%1st Place
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6.37Villanova University1.800.1%1st Place
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7.63Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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4.71Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.75U. S. Naval Academy2.900.2%1st Place
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6.86Cornell University1.460.0%1st Place
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10.69American University-1.620.0%1st Place
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6.41St. Mary's College of Maryland1.670.0%1st Place
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4.82Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stessing | 15.6% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 26.1% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sayre | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 9.0% | 0.8% |
| Scott Barnhill | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 20.8% | 23.6% | 3.1% |
| Andrew Green | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 33.6% | 4.6% |
| Jacob Spracher | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Philip Youngberg | 17.4% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Collin Clark | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 1.8% |
| Beatriz Gimenez De Cordoba | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 88.5% |
| Allison Shane | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.