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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.99+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.51+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.88-0.53vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.56-1.02vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11University of Hawaii0.9939.1%1st Place
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2.86University of Hawaii0.5118.1%1st Place
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2.47University of Rhode Island0.8826.4%1st Place
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4.25Arizona State University-0.395.7%1st Place
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3.98University of California at Berkeley-0.568.3%1st Place
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5.34University of California at Los Angeles-1.822.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mercy Tangredi | 39.1% | 28.1% | 18.6% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
Martha Schuessler | 18.1% | 23.7% | 26.2% | 20.1% | 10.2% | 1.8% |
Molly Coghlin | 26.4% | 29.2% | 23.4% | 14.0% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
Sadie Hoberman | 5.7% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 23.1% | 34.0% | 17.4% |
Victoria Chen | 8.3% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 24.4% | 31.1% | 12.2% |
Katherine Smith | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 15.7% | 67.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.