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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Elliott Morrill 24.0% 22.0% 17.3% 14.2% 11.1% 6.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Stessing 18.1% 17.9% 15.7% 15.7% 11.1% 9.5% 6.0% 4.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Jacob Spracher 10.6% 11.2% 12.5% 11.2% 12.6% 14.0% 13.3% 7.5% 5.7% 1.4% 0.0%
Philip Youngberg 14.8% 15.5% 15.0% 15.6% 12.8% 10.8% 8.0% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Scott Barnhill 3.6% 3.3% 3.8% 4.6% 6.7% 8.3% 10.7% 14.9% 18.6% 23.2% 2.3%
Collin Clark 3.4% 4.1% 6.0% 6.0% 8.1% 9.6% 10.8% 16.3% 16.8% 17.3% 1.6%
Rachel Austin 11.3% 10.8% 12.8% 13.5% 13.1% 12.2% 10.8% 7.5% 5.5% 2.1% 0.4%
Allison Shane 5.6% 5.2% 6.1% 9.0% 8.4% 12.1% 14.4% 14.0% 14.1% 10.4% 0.7%
Andrew Green 2.3% 2.7% 3.4% 2.3% 4.9% 5.6% 7.5% 13.0% 18.6% 32.8% 6.9%
Andrew Sayre 5.9% 7.1% 7.2% 7.9% 11.0% 11.1% 14.3% 14.9% 13.4% 6.3% 0.9%
Beatriz Gimenez De Cordoba 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 3.3% 5.7% 87.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.