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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.99+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.51+0.82vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.88-0.47vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39+0.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.56-0.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Hawaii0.9937.8%1st Place
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2.82University of Hawaii0.5120.4%1st Place
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2.53University of Rhode Island0.8824.8%1st Place
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4.14Arizona State University-0.397.2%1st Place
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4.03University of California at Berkeley-0.567.6%1st Place
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5.38University of California at Los Angeles-1.822.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 37.8% | 29.5% | 20.4% | 9.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Martha Schuessler | 20.4% | 22.1% | 26.3% | 19.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% |
| Molly Coghlin | 24.8% | 28.0% | 25.1% | 14.8% | 6.7% | 0.7% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 22.9% | 33.1% | 16.2% |
| Victoria Chen | 7.6% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 27.0% | 31.1% | 12.7% |
| Katherine Smith | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 16.9% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.