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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.51+3.75vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.90+1.80vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia3.01+0.76vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.40+1.04vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.80+1.21vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-2.90vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.67-0.68vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo0.87-0.01vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.21-1.46vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.46-3.20vs Predicted
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11American University-1.62-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.8U. S. Naval Academy2.900.2%1st Place
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3.76University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
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5.04Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.21Villanova University1.800.1%1st Place
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3.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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6.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.670.1%1st Place
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7.99University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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7.54Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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6.8Cornell University1.460.0%1st Place
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10.69American University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Spracher | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 18.0% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 16.7% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Austin | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sayre | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 0.6% |
| Elliott Morrill | 24.6% | 22.6% | 18.2% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Allison Shane | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Green | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 32.6% | 4.4% |
| Scott Barnhill | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 19.8% | 22.5% | 4.3% |
| Collin Clark | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 1.4% |
| Beatriz Gimenez De Cordoba | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 88.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.