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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.47+0.54vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.22+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.06-1.04vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.60-0.23vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-2.48-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Hawaii1.0540.6%1st Place
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2.54University of Hawaii0.4724.6%1st Place
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3.25University of California at Berkeley-0.2214.2%1st Place
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2.96University of California at Santa Barbara0.0616.3%1st Place
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4.77Arizona State University-1.603.1%1st Place
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5.47University of California at Los Angeles-2.481.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 40.6% | 30.0% | 18.4% | 9.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Malia Johnson | 24.6% | 26.0% | 26.4% | 17.2% | 5.5% | 0.3% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 14.2% | 16.3% | 20.5% | 31.0% | 14.5% | 3.4% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 16.3% | 21.5% | 25.4% | 25.2% | 10.2% | 1.3% |
| Erin Welker | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 47.9% | 26.6% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 20.2% | 68.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.