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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.22+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.47-0.48vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.06-1.05vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.60-0.19vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-2.48-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Hawaii1.0540.2%1st Place
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3.25University of California at Berkeley-0.2213.5%1st Place
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2.52University of Hawaii0.4724.8%1st Place
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2.95University of California at Santa Barbara0.0617.2%1st Place
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4.81Arizona State University-1.603.0%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Los Angeles-2.481.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 40.2% | 29.8% | 19.9% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 13.5% | 16.9% | 20.3% | 31.6% | 15.8% | 1.8% |
| Malia Johnson | 24.8% | 27.9% | 24.7% | 16.6% | 5.7% | 0.4% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 17.2% | 19.7% | 26.4% | 25.6% | 9.8% | 1.4% |
| Erin Welker | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 45.5% | 29.4% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 21.6% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.