← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+2.13vs Predicted
-
2University of Virginia3.01+1.62vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.440.00vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University2.51+0.73vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.40-0.16vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.24+1.16vs Predicted
-
7Villanova University1.80-1.14vs Predicted
-
8Villanova University1.21-0.91vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University1.46-2.18vs Predicted
-
10University of Buffalo-0.13-0.82vs Predicted
-
11American University-1.62-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
-
3.62University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
-
3.0U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
-
4.73Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
-
4.84Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
-
7.16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.240.0%1st Place
-
5.86Villanova University1.800.1%1st Place
-
7.09Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
-
6.82Cornell University1.460.0%1st Place
-
9.18University of Buffalo-0.130.0%1st Place
-
10.57American University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Morrill | 22.4% | 20.8% | 19.1% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 18.3% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eugene Diaz del Rio | 23.5% | 23.4% | 19.0% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Gluskin | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 18.6% | 21.0% | 13.3% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Sayre | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Scott Barnhill | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 21.8% | 12.3% | 1.2% |
| Collin Clark | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 2.3% |
| Jon Gambacorta | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 47.5% | 15.7% |
| Beatriz Gimenez De Cordoba | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 12.0% | 79.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.