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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.47+0.49vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.22+0.28vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.06-1.06vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.60-0.16vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-2.48-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Hawaii1.0542.1%1st Place
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2.49University of Hawaii0.4724.7%1st Place
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3.28University of California at Berkeley-0.2212.8%1st Place
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2.94University of California at Santa Barbara0.0617.2%1st Place
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4.84Arizona State University-1.602.1%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Los Angeles-2.481.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 42.1% | 28.1% | 18.6% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Malia Johnson | 24.7% | 30.1% | 23.2% | 16.2% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 12.8% | 15.6% | 23.0% | 31.3% | 14.4% | 2.9% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 17.2% | 20.9% | 24.6% | 26.5% | 9.4% | 1.3% |
| Erin Welker | 2.1% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 47.6% | 28.2% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 20.9% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.