← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii0.99+1.26vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii0.51+1.08vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island0.88-0.35vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.76vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley-0.56-0.54vs Predicted
-
6Arizona State University-0.39-1.36vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.26University of Hawaii0.9936.2%1st Place
-
3.08University of Hawaii0.5118.4%1st Place
-
2.65University of Rhode Island0.8825.0%1st Place
-
4.76University of California at San Diego-0.705.4%1st Place
-
4.46University of California at Berkeley-0.566.9%1st Place
-
4.64Arizona State University-0.396.3%1st Place
-
6.14University of California at Los Angeles-1.821.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 36.2% | 26.9% | 19.6% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 18.4% | 21.3% | 21.6% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 25.0% | 25.4% | 22.6% | 16.5% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 21.2% | 26.9% | 14.2% |
| Victoria Chen | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 20.8% | 23.5% | 9.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 22.0% | 23.6% | 13.5% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 16.8% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.