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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.94vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.51+2.57vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.80+3.14vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.40+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.01-1.35vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-2.90vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.24-0.02vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.46-1.37vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.21-1.73vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo-0.13-0.79vs Predicted
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11American University-1.62-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
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4.57Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.14Villanova University1.800.1%1st Place
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4.94Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
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3.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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6.98St. Mary's College of Maryland1.240.0%1st Place
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6.63Cornell University1.460.0%1st Place
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7.27Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Buffalo-0.130.0%1st Place
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10.57American University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eugene Diaz del Rio | 24.2% | 23.1% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sayre | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Austin | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 18.0% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 23.0% | 22.2% | 19.7% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Gluskin | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 20.7% | 10.8% | 1.3% |
| Collin Clark | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 8.3% | 0.8% |
| Scott Barnhill | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 23.1% | 11.7% | 3.3% |
| Jon Gambacorta | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 50.0% | 15.7% |
| Beatriz Gimenez De Cordoba | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 13.3% | 78.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.