← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Eugene Diaz del Rio 24.2% 23.1% 17.7% 17.0% 9.8% 4.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Spracher 10.0% 11.2% 13.9% 13.8% 16.4% 12.0% 12.3% 6.8% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Andrew Sayre 5.0% 5.5% 6.2% 8.1% 11.3% 14.4% 14.8% 16.9% 13.2% 4.3% 0.3%
Rachel Austin 8.2% 9.2% 11.1% 13.7% 15.0% 16.3% 11.2% 10.2% 4.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Christopher Stessing 18.0% 16.2% 18.0% 15.6% 11.8% 9.1% 6.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Elliott Morrill 23.0% 22.2% 19.7% 12.7% 10.0% 7.0% 2.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Katherine Gluskin 3.8% 3.7% 4.3% 4.9% 8.1% 10.6% 13.0% 18.8% 20.7% 10.8% 1.3%
Collin Clark 3.9% 4.1% 4.6% 7.6% 9.1% 12.6% 16.8% 14.1% 18.1% 8.3% 0.8%
Scott Barnhill 3.0% 3.6% 3.4% 4.8% 5.9% 9.7% 13.6% 17.9% 23.1% 11.7% 3.3%
Jon Gambacorta 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 2.4% 2.7% 5.1% 7.4% 12.7% 50.0% 15.7%
Beatriz Gimenez De Cordoba 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.8% 1.1% 1.9% 3.1% 13.3% 78.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.