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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.40+4.57vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.89+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+7.05vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+6.05vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+3.87vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.25+0.95vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.86+1.93vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.66+1.29vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.74+2.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.69-0.73vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.35-0.13vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.07-0.79vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine0.43-2.58vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.54-4.16vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.09+2.97vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.58-1.19vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.21+1.00vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.80-1.53vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.09-5.67vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.21-0.86vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.16+0.71vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine-0.88-5.37vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-4.17vs Predicted
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24California State University Monterey Bay-1.83-3.31vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-1.61-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57University of Southern California1.4013.0%1st Place
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4.67University of Southern California1.8916.8%1st Place
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10.05University of California at Santa Cruz0.824.5%1st Place
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10.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.354.4%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.916.3%1st Place
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6.95University of Southern California1.259.4%1st Place
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8.93California Poly Maritime Academy0.866.0%1st Place
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9.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.665.1%1st Place
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11.78Arizona State University0.743.0%1st Place
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9.27University of California at Santa Cruz0.694.8%1st Place
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10.87University of California at Santa Barbara0.353.8%1st Place
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11.21University of California at Davis0.073.6%1st Place
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10.42University of California at Irvine0.434.2%1st Place
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9.84University of California at Los Angeles0.545.1%1st Place
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17.97Arizona State University-1.090.8%1st Place
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14.81University of California at San Diego-0.581.4%1st Place
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18.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.210.5%1st Place
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16.47University of California at Irvine-0.801.2%1st Place
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13.33University of California at Berkeley-0.092.6%1st Place
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19.14Arizona State University-1.210.5%1st Place
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21.71University of California at Davis-2.160.2%1st Place
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16.63University of California at Irvine-0.880.9%1st Place
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18.83University of California at Los Angeles-2.100.9%1st Place
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20.69California State University Monterey Bay-1.830.4%1st Place
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19.65University of California at Los Angeles-1.610.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 16.8% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Colin Olson | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jan Matteo Bassi | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Devon Baker-Berry | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rory Collins | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adam Leddy | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sanchita Pant | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
| Emma Feasey | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Ethan Lisle | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| William Bailly | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 33.8% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% |
| Annika Altman | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 20.1% |
| John Flanagan | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.