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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.13+1.16vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.99+0.29vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.49-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.75+0.68vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy0.26-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Webb Institute1.130.4%1st Place
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2.29Penn State University0.990.3%1st Place
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2.8Ocean County College0.490.2%1st Place
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4.68University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.750.0%1st Place
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3.07U. S. Military Academy0.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Codega | 35.8% | 29.4% | 19.2% | 14.0% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Bennung | 30.3% | 29.4% | 23.5% | 14.8% | 2.0% |
| Autumn Hoover | 17.8% | 21.5% | 28.9% | 26.4% | 5.4% |
| Samuel Kraft | 1.5% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 82.8% |
| David Geer | 14.6% | 17.1% | 23.3% | 36.8% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.