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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.70+3.82vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+0.65vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.99-0.76vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39+0.67vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.56-0.50vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.82+0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.51-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82University of California at San Diego-0.705.3%1st Place
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2.65University of Rhode Island0.8825.0%1st Place
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2.24University of Hawaii0.9935.3%1st Place
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4.67Arizona State University-0.395.8%1st Place
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4.5University of California at Berkeley-0.567.1%1st Place
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6.08University of California at Los Angeles-1.822.2%1st Place
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3.04University of Hawaii0.5119.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 5.3% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 20.4% | 27.9% | 14.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 25.0% | 26.6% | 21.1% | 17.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 35.3% | 28.8% | 19.4% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 5.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 19.9% | 25.7% | 13.4% |
| Victoria Chen | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 24.4% | 22.4% | 9.8% |
| Katherine Smith | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 60.5% |
| Martha Schuessler | 19.1% | 20.4% | 23.0% | 18.6% | 13.2% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.