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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.13+1.15vs Predicted
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2U. S. Military Academy0.26+1.04vs Predicted
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3Penn State University0.99-0.71vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.75+0.69vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.49-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Webb Institute1.130.4%1st Place
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3.04U. S. Military Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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2.29Penn State University0.990.3%1st Place
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4.69University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.750.0%1st Place
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2.83Ocean County College0.490.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Codega | 36.4% | 28.5% | 20.4% | 12.9% | 1.8% |
| David Geer | 13.2% | 18.8% | 25.8% | 35.3% | 6.9% |
| Rachel Bennung | 30.3% | 29.3% | 24.2% | 13.9% | 2.3% |
| Samuel Kraft | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 8.6% | 83.3% |
| Autumn Hoover | 18.4% | 20.4% | 26.2% | 29.3% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.