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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.40+4.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+7.74vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.89+1.77vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.66+5.18vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.25+1.70vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.58+9.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine0.43+3.74vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+2.02vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.74+3.32vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.86-1.00vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.07+0.33vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.69-2.66vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.54-3.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara0.35-3.26vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.09-1.73vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-7.22vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.61+2.57vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.21+1.03vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.09-1.43vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.21-1.92vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-2.05vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay-1.83-1.41vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-0.88-6.26vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine-0.80-7.73vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.16-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47University of Southern California1.4013.2%1st Place
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9.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.824.9%1st Place
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4.77University of Southern California1.8916.1%1st Place
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9.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.665.2%1st Place
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6.7University of Southern California1.2510.2%1st Place
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15.09University of California at San Diego-0.581.7%1st Place
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10.74University of California at Irvine0.432.9%1st Place
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10.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.354.2%1st Place
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12.32Arizona State University0.742.8%1st Place
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9.0California Poly Maritime Academy0.866.3%1st Place
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11.33University of California at Davis0.073.9%1st Place
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9.34University of California at Santa Cruz0.695.4%1st Place
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9.86University of California at Los Angeles0.544.2%1st Place
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10.74University of California at Santa Barbara0.353.9%1st Place
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13.27University of California at Berkeley-0.092.6%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.915.9%1st Place
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19.57University of California at Los Angeles-1.610.5%1st Place
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19.03Arizona State University-1.210.8%1st Place
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17.57Arizona State University-1.091.2%1st Place
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18.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.210.8%1st Place
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18.95University of California at Los Angeles-2.100.8%1st Place
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20.59California State University Monterey Bay-1.830.4%1st Place
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16.74University of California at Irvine-0.880.9%1st Place
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16.27University of California at Irvine-0.801.1%1st Place
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21.83University of California at Davis-2.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 13.2% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Davis Winsor | 16.1% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jan Matteo Bassi | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Adam Leddy | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Devon Baker-Berry | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sanchita Pant | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rory Collins | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Lisle | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Colin Olson | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Flanagan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 11.8% |
| William Bailly | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.9% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.7% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 8.4% |
| Annika Altman | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 19.8% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Emma Feasey | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.